Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.239494 0.271301 0.305215 0.344005 0.387085 0.433398 0.486891
2025-09-14 0.194992 0.237357 0.285366 0.343584 0.412047 0.489764 0.584420
2025-09-21 0.163647 0.212093 0.269961 0.343722 0.434734 0.542818 0.680297
2025-09-28 0.140187 0.192254 0.257448 0.344289 0.456032 0.594001 0.776116
2025-10-05 0.123632 0.178458 0.250081 0.349297 0.481769 0.650969 0.881570
2025-10-12 0.111845 0.169157 0.246956 0.358580 0.512587 0.715249 0.999278
2025-10-19 0.100288 0.158553 0.240566 0.362168 0.535123 0.769052 1.105376
2025-10-26 0.091576 0.150869 0.237171 0.369045 0.561868 0.829208 1.222460
2025-11-02 0.085284 0.145973 0.237077 0.380179 0.594738 0.898933 1.355675
2025-11-09 0.076677 0.136445 0.229015 0.378503 0.608325 0.941461 1.451883
2025-11-16 0.069299 0.128026 0.221751 0.377149 0.621783 0.983849 1.549194
2025-11-23 0.062860 0.120428 0.214999 0.375810 0.634738 1.025583 1.646834
2025-11-30 0.058458 0.116077 0.213454 0.383160 0.662439 1.092069 1.786726
2025-12-07 0.053235 0.109685 0.207905 0.383429 0.678738 1.141796 1.903430
2025-12-14 0.048634 0.103902 0.202835 0.383982 0.695311 1.192504 2.023745
2025-12-21 0.044575 0.098670 0.198217 0.384828 0.712185 1.244215 2.147649
2025-12-28 0.041607 0.095223 0.196475 0.390476 0.737303 1.310131 2.296812
2026-01-04 0.039519 0.093306 0.197354 0.400786 0.770861 1.391173 2.473637
2026-01-11 0.036831 0.089830 0.194942 0.404782 0.793398 1.454683 2.624029
2026-01-18 0.034794 0.087504 0.194526 0.412389 0.822632 1.530543 2.797751
2026-01-25 0.033413 0.086463 0.196539 0.424679 0.860874 1.623234 3.003188
2026-02-01 0.030714 0.082127 0.191491 0.422838 0.872872 1.670831 3.133434
2026-02-08 0.028297 0.078153 0.186826 0.421348 0.885287 1.719452 3.267016